Search found 730 matches

by bwv812
Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:13 pm
Forum: Afghanistan
Topic: With Tajik driver to Afghan Wakhan?
Replies: 3
Views: 220

Re: Taking Driver into Wakhan

Even if your driver is able to enter Afghanistan, I suspect he would decline to drive you up the afghan wakhan for various reasons including lack of familiarity with road and it's conditions and the wakhan taxi "mafia." And from a tourist perspective, it likely better to get a local driver who knows...
by bwv812
Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:09 am
Forum: Uzbekistan
Topic: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A
Replies: 22
Views: 3265

Re: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A

Just to add another data point to cross-reference with: on Feb 9th it was reported that "In total, 81,825 people have recovered in the republic since March." https://24.kg/english/182808_977_COVID-19_patients_registered_in_Kyrgyzstan_145_-_in_serious_condition/ If we contrast that with the suggestio...
by bwv812
Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:07 pm
Forum: Uzbekistan
Topic: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A
Replies: 22
Views: 3265

Re: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A

I remain skeptical. According to that article, 6% of those with antibodies were hospitalized, and if over 50% of the country has been infected (and note that herd immunity isn't projected until over 80% are protected), that would suggest that 3% of the country has been hospitalized for Covid in the ...
by bwv812
Mon Feb 08, 2021 10:05 pm
Forum: Uzbekistan
Topic: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A
Replies: 22
Views: 3265

Re: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A

I don't believe there has been anything approaching herd immunity in the region. Also, even if we ignore the fact that there aren't a lot of serological antibody surveys to test for the prevalence of infection even in western countries, it's hardly a surprise that governments in Central Asia wouldn'...
by bwv812
Tue Jan 19, 2021 8:56 am
Forum: Roads, borders and security updates
Topic: Tajikistan Covid re-opening Q&A
Replies: 12
Views: 660

Re: Coronavirus: when can we start traveling again?

Well, given that airlines consult IATA and not the US State Department when letting people board, it doesn't matter if the State Department is right because they're not going to let you on the plane regardless.
by bwv812
Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:12 am
Forum: Roads, borders and security updates
Topic: Coronavirus: when can we start traveling again?
Replies: 29
Views: 6567

Re: Coronavirus: when can we start traveling again?

Whatever the reason may be for apparently low infection rates, I think it's virtually impossible that herd immunity is the answer. It's likely that 80-85% or more of the population has to have been infected in order for there to be herd immunity, and if that many people had been infected the death c...
by bwv812
Sat Jan 02, 2021 7:42 am
Forum: Uzbekistan
Topic: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A
Replies: 22
Views: 3265

Re: Uzbekistan travel restrictions/reopening Q&A

I would assume that when you sign an agreement to quarantine for 14 days, they expect you to actually quarantine for 14 days. For those who have been in red countries, I expect they either enforce the quarantine in specific locales or check up on you to make sure you're actually quarantining.
by bwv812
Fri Jan 01, 2021 9:38 pm
Forum: Itineraries & trip reports
Topic: Best circular road
Replies: 4
Views: 434

Re: Best circular road

There is no getting around the guide requirement, as many posts here can attest.
by bwv812
Fri Jan 01, 2021 9:37 pm
Forum: Tajikistan
Topic: Crossing China - From Tajikistan to Pakistan
Replies: 7
Views: 2777

Re: Crossing China - From Tajikistan to Pakistan

Karamyk being open for goods doesn't mean it is open for tourists.